30th June 2020


What are current credit spreads?

The credit spread is the difference between the yield (return) of two different debt instruments with the same maturity but different credit ratings. For example, if a 5-year Treasury bond is trading at a yield of 3% and a 5-year corporate bond.

In this manner, how is credit spread calculated?

Credit Spread = (1 – Recovery Rate) (Default Probability)
The formula simply states that credit spread on a bond is simply the product of the issuer's probability of default times 1 minus possibility of recovery on the respective transaction.

One may also ask, what is the 2/10 spread?

The 10-2 Treasury Yield Spread is the difference between the 10 year treasury rate and the 2 year treasury rate. A 10-2 treasury spread that approaches 0 signifies a "flattening" yield curve.

What happens when a credit spread expires in the money?

If both options of a credit spread (Bear Call Credit or Bull Put Credit) are in the money at expiration you will receive the full loss on the spread. You will be obligated to deliver shares of stock or buy stock at the short option strike price, and your broker would use the long option to cover the obligation.

Is a recession coming 2020?

The estimates provided to Quartz came from its “flash forecasting” tool, which asked about 20 forecasters to estimate “the probability that the US economy will post two consecutive quarters of GDP decline before 1 April 2021.” (A recession that began in Q4 of 2020 wouldn't be declared until after the first quarter of
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